2026 midterm election · Florida

The Sunshine State forecast.

Three statewide contests. A closer look at Florida’s next election.

Florida · 2026

Governor

76.1%

Byron Donalds chance to win

Forecasted support
Byron DonaldsRepublican52.8%
David JollyDemocrat47.2%
Florida · 2026

U.S. Senate

93.6%

Ashley Moody chance to win

Forecasted support
Ashley MoodyRepublican56.1%
Angie NixonDemocrat43.9%
Florida · 2026

Amendment 3

49.0%

chance of passage

Forecasted support
YesFor59.9%
NoAgainst40.1%
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Pollstradamus

How it got started. An indie forecast built from polling, voter registration, and electoral history.

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