2026 midterm election · Florida

The Sunshine State forecast.

Three statewide contests. A closer look at Florida’s next election.

Florida · 2026

Governor

93.0%

Byron Donalds chance to win

Forecasted support
Byron DonaldsRepublican55.9%
David JollyDemocrat44.1%
Florida · 2026

U.S. Senate

95.7%

Ashley Moody chance to win

Forecasted support
Ashley MoodyRepublican56.9%
Angie NixonDemocrat43.1%
Florida · 2026

Amendment 3

54.6%

chance of passage

Forecasted support
YesFor60.5%
NoAgainst39.5%
Campaign and forecast updates

The Blog

All posts
No blog content yet available
The electorate over time

Voter Registration

Explore county registration timelines for Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona, starting in 2008.

Play the timeline
From the timeline

Latest on X

@PollstradamusUS

Loading recent posts…

Fetching the latest posts from @PollstradamusUS.

Read the latest posts on X
Behind the numbers

About
Pollstradamus

How it got started. An indie forecast built from polling, voter registration, and electoral history.

More about Pollstradamus